The Albany Gazette - Stocks climb as Powell says rate cut coming

The dollar, which performs better when borrowing costs are higher, fell against the euro, the pound and the yen, which also strengthened after Bank of Japan chief Kazuo Ueda signalled that Japanese rates could rise again.

Investors had been on tenterhooks all week in anticipation of a key speech by Powell at an annual gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Traders were hoping that Powell would leave no doubts that a rate reduction was on the way after data earlier this month raised recession fears and rocked the markets. The next Fed rate decision is next on September 18.

Powell did not disappoint.

"The time has come for policy to adjust," he said, adding that his confidence had grown that inflation was on a "sustainable path back" to the Fed's two-percent inflation target.

"The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks," he said.

The Dow was up 0.9 percent following the speech while the broad-based S&P 500 gained more than one percent and the Nasdaq bounced by 1.5 percent. All three had closed in the red Thursday.

The Fed has kept its rates at a 23-year high after raising them to between 5.25 and 5.50 percent in efforts to combat inflation, which has cooled, while central banks in Europe have started to cut theirs.

Speculation has been rife about how big, or small, the first US cut might be, and Powell did not go into specific details about the upcoming move.

Most analysts expect a reduction of a quarter-percentage-point but some traders hope for as much as half a point.

Powell's speech came after three Fed officials said they wanted to see more data before agreeing to a rate cut.

Data released this week showed a robust US services industry but also a rise in jobless claims and a cooler-than-expected labour market.

- BoJ hike signal -

While other major central banks are easing their rates, the Bank of Japan made its second hike in 17 years in late July, a move that caused the yen to rise and contributed to a market rout.

Ueda told Japanese lawmakers on Friday that the BoJ could hike rates again if inflation and the economy performed as expected, and the yen rose against the dollar following his remarks.

A stronger yen makes it less attractive for investors who use the cheaper currency to buy higher-yielding assets such as stocks, a practice known as "yen carry trade".

The last rate hike caused investors to unwind such trades.

Tokyo and Shanghai closed higher on Friday but Hong Kong fell.

In company news, shares in Alibaba rallied after the Chinese e-commerce giant said it would upgrade its Hong Kong-listed shares to primary status, opening it up to China's huge army of investors.

In Europe, Nestle shares fell after the surprise exit of its chief executive, Mark Schneider, following slowing sales and negative headlines at the Swiss food giant.

- Key figures around 1445 GMT -

New York - Dow: UP 0.9 percent at 41,089.78 points

New York - S&P 500: UP 1.0 percent at 5,627.56

New York - Nasdaq Composite: UP 1.4 percent at 17,873.92

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.5 percent at 8,325.19

Paris - CAC 40: UP 0.8 percent at 7,580.37

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 0.8 percent at 18,644.11

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.4 percent at 38,364.27 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.2 percent at 17,612.10 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 2,854.37 (close)

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 145.08 yen from 146.27 yen on Thursday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1179 from $1.1115

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3207 from $1.3092

Euro/pound: DOWN at 84.65 pence from 84.87 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.6 percent at $74.21 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.4 percent at $78.26 per barrel

(W.Williams--TAG)